Nate Silvers Silverbulletin anger sista uppdateringen inför valet under tisdagen:
Last and final update: 12:30 a.m., Tuesday, November 5. Happy Election Day! At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle. Out of 80,000 simulations, Kamala Harris won in 40,012 (50.015%) cases. She did not win in 39,988 simulations (49.985%). Of those, 39,718 were outright wins for Donald Trump and the remainder (270 simulations) were exact 269-269
50 -50 alltså enligt hans modell, som inte är riktigt samma som används på 538. En spännande valnatt väntar.